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Political Concepts
A Working Paper Series of the Committee on Concepts and Methods
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| Marco Pinfari, "How Do Civil Wars End? A Critical Review of Datasets on Conflict Termination," September 2008 |
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| Abstract | | The paper assesses the role that a ‘new generation’ of large-N comparative projects – UCDP, COSIMO and Mediation Project – can play for the analysis of conflict termination. The datasets produced by these projects have the potential for challenging the over-reliance of the field of comparative peace studies on the Correlates of War project and for providing scholars with readily-coded variables that are relevant for researching trends in conflict resolution. The paper analyses these projects through the prism of concept validity, coding reliability and by reviewing their use of sources, and argues that, from a methodological perspective, all these datasets show some shortcomings. Yet, the final section of the paper shows that the data provided by their datasets, if some countermeasures are taken, can still be used profitably and ‘safely’ for exploring trends on the recurrence of negotiated settlements, in particular among ‘persistent’ conflicts, in the post-Cold War era. |
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C&M
The Committee on Concepts and Methods
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